Almost all Democrats in Congress, and even some Republicans, condemned President Trump for inciting riots in the Capitol. Almost all Democrats in Congress, and even some Republicans, seem to want Trump to step down as soon as possible. The US House of Representatives seems likely to impeach Trump for the second time this week, and at least five Republicans may vote for it. An ally of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (Mitch McConnell), first reported by the New York Times and then confirmed by ABC News, said McConnell believed Trump had committed an impeachable crime And support the Democrats to continue impeachment.
Where do all these stay? it’s complicated. It still seems quite likely that Trump will stay in office until January 20, with the House of Representatives impeaching Trump in most party lines to vote, but then President-elect Biden does not account for impeachment before January 20 when he takes office in the Senate. However, we must wait and see how everything unfolds to be sure. Either way, we all know that an important step was taken in this process: On Tuesday night, the House of Representatives passed a resolution calling on Vice President Mike Pence and the rest of Trump’s cabinet to cite The Article Amendment”
This vote is historic-the House of Representatives voted to impeach three presidents (including Trump), but has never formally recommended that the president be removed by the cabinet. At the same time, voting has no real impact. Pence said in a letter to Pelosi before the vote that he and the cabinet would not try to pass the 25th Amendment to force Trump to step down. Therefore, Tuesday’s vote is actually only the prelude to a separate vote on the Trump impeachment case, and the vote may take place as early as Wednesday. House Democrats promised that if the cabinet does not remove Trump, they will impeach Trump for the second time.
The vote on the 25th amendment resolution on Tuesday night is symbolic, but it does help us understand certain dynamics within the two parties-especially if you consider it with last week’s vote on whether to prove the November election results . Here are four things we learned…
Most House Republicans still strongly agree with Trump.
Only 83 of the 204 House Republicans who voted last week opposed last week’s efforts to effectively disqualify the Arizona presidential election. Of the 202 Republicans in the House of Representatives who voted, only 64 opposed efforts to disqualify the Pennsylvania election results. In other words, the obvious House Republicans voted to ban the results of the presidential elections in Arizona and Pennsylvania, while Trump is also trying to cancel the ballots in swing states that he failed narrowly.These are the polls held Rear Trump supporters attacked the U.S. Capitol.
On Tuesday night, the number of House Republicans willing to call for Trump’s removal was even lower-Representative Adam Kinzinger of Illinois had only one person supporting the resolution calling for Trump’s removal. There may be some Republicans who voted for impeachment but did not vote for the 25th amendment (see below for more details). However, no matter which method is adopted, the vast majority of Republicans seem to oppose any effort to remove Trump from office.
The upcoming impeachment vote will be the fourth in a week, and it is actually a representative of the loyalty of House Republicans to Trump and voters who strongly support Trump. It seems that most Republicans in the House of Representatives will stand by Trump’s side four times, although part of the reason for the attack on the Capitol is Trump’s words, which led to the death of five people, and it is easy for members of Congress or even pennies to be killed.
It is worth noting that the strong support for Trump from House Republicans may not be shared in the Senate. Only 8 of the 51 Republicans in the Senate support efforts to debate the results in Arizona, Pennsylvania, or two states. Unlike McConnell, the allies of Representative Kevin McCarthy, the top Republican in the House of Representatives, did not imply that McCarthy was willing to accept Trump’s impeachment. That being said, it is unclear whether many Senate Republicans support invoking the Twenty-Fifth Amendment or try to impeach and remove Trump. (Discussed later).
There is a big difference between confirming Biden’s victory and calling for Trump’s removal.
63 Republican congressmen affirmed the election results All Arizona and Pennsylvania come from different ideologies and geographic areas. Some of them are fairly moderate members from more liberal regions, such as New York State Representative John Catco, but there are also some conservatives from right-wing regions. The most famous is Liz Cheney of Wyoming under the leadership of the 3 Republicans.
But even for these Republicans, voting to remove Trump seems to be just a bridge. Representatives from Michigan, Fred Upton, Jaime Herrera Beutler in Washington, Katko and Cheney said they would support impeachment, even if they did not support the first 25 amendments. But overall, there are few signs that most of these 63 members will vote for impeachment.
The impeachment of the House of Representatives does not actually require a Republican vote, because Democrats are the majority, and they may generally be supported by the impeachment behind. But this sentiment in the House of Representatives may also indicate things in the Senate…
It is not clear what the Senate Republicans will do.
While expressing his frustration with Trump, McConnell also hinted that the Senate would not really start the impeachment trial before January 19. This was what he sent to the Republican senators of the Washington Post. memorandum. If the Senate really wants to push Trump away immediately, I think they will come up with a way. More likely, McConnell wants to publicly convey a message that he himself is angry with Trump, but does not necessarily require Republican senators to vote. Remember, McConnell has just won a six-year term in 2020 and is 78 years old. He probably doesn’t say, worrying about being voted insuffienciently pro-Trump in 2026 and losing the Republican primary if he decides to be 84 years old but young Republican senators, those with ambitions to be president and/or those who come out to seek re-election , Next year’s re-election may hope to avoid voting to defend Trump or remove him.
Therefore, it is not clear whether McConnell will vote before January 20. There are no calls from Republican senators to urge the Senate to meet immediately after Trump impeached Trump, and it is also unclear whether there are close to 18 Republican senators. He needs to be removed from the office.Therefore, unless there is a major change, in terms of the Republican senator’s position, Trump is likely to remain in office on January 20
By the end of this month, the Senate will vote 50 to 50, with Vice President Kamala Harris (Kamala Harris) as the tiebreaker, and Senate Democratic leader Charles Schumer (Charles Schumer) will become the majority leader. There are few precedents for this, but some legal experts say that the Senate can convict Trump of impeachment by a two-thirds vote, even if he is not in office. Then, with a simple majority, the Senate can vote to disqualify Trump from holding any position again. But I should emphasize: we don’t know if anything will happen. With Trump leaving office, will Democrats, especially Biden, be eager to focus on the Democratic Party’s policy agenda instead of trying to punish Trump? Will Republicans in the Senate try to convict Trump and disqualify him from running for office? Will the disqualification of Trump from other positions face legal challenges?
Democrats are reprimanding Trump, just as no other president is being reprimanded.
The 222 Democrats who participated in the vote on Tuesday all supported the invocation of the “25 Amendment.” Impeachment may also be a unanimous vote of Democrats. This is not surprising-in 2019, all but three of the 232 House Democrats supported Trump’s impeachment of his plan to force the Ukrainian government to investigate the Bidens. The number of members has increased, but the vast majority of House Democrats have tried to force Trump to step down and may feel comfortable voting again, especially in light of the terrible incident in the Capitol last week.
Combining today’s 25th Amendment resolution with 2019’s impeachment, the Democrats ensured that Trump will be reprimanded by the House of Representatives in a way that previous presidents did not: impeach him and urge the president’s cabinet to remove him. No president has been impeached in two different cases ((Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton) were impeached in multiple articles, but were impeached in the same series of votes in the House of Representatives each. The House Democrats will almost certainly make Trump the number one this week.