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Those who did not vote in 2016 will show up early in droves-Democrats more



Since the total number of early votes each day broke the record, Democrats are leading the major electoral districts-those who did not vote or failed to vote in 2016.

Data from the democratic political data company NBC News Decision Desk/TargetSmart shows that so far, more than 20% of early votes nationwide have come from these voters.

Seventy-seven million voters have voted in advance-the decision-making department predicts that by Tuesday’s general election, this number may reach 100 million, of which more than 17.5 million votes come from voters who have voted or have not yet voted in 201

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According to Decision Desk/TargetSmart data, among the 17.5 million voters, Democrats have nearly 2 million votes superior to Republicans, of which about 7.5 million votes come from registered Democrats and 5.5 million come from registered Republicans. Another 4.46 million are from independents who did not vote in 2016.

Opinion polls show that independents are generally moving towards the 2020 Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden (Joe Biden), who has a large number of poll leaders among early voters in major states, and Donald Trump ) The president maintains a huge advantage among those who have not yet voted.

“Although the early turnout rate broke all records, the most meaningful statistic is the number of votes cast by voters who did not vote in 2016,” said Tom Bonier, senior Democratic strategist and CEO of TargetSmart Said. “These voters will determine how voters in 2020 differ from the coalition that Trump won in 2016.”

He added: “These surge voters are younger, more diverse, and more likely to vote for the Democrats.” “At this point, this bodes well for Joe Biden, even though this voter is still vibrant. Republicans are counting on a surge on election day.”

Among these new voters or non-voters, more than 26% are younger, between 18-29 years old, and a large part of them come from the youngest people in this group who voted in the first election. Opinion polls show that age group is Biden’s best demographic indicator, and the percentage of voters planning to vote early is the highest.

But it’s not just young voters. More than 22% are from voters between the ages of 50-64, while the elderly account for the other 20%.

According to Decision Desk/Target Smart, Democrats lead this in several important swing states (including Arizona, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin). Key crowd. Republicans maintain a small advantage in Georgia, and a large advantage in Ohio and Texas.

The state with the largest total is Pennsylvania-one of the most critical states in the 2020 general election, where Biden and Trump have been here for months.

In Keystone State, 331,000 non-voting or non-voting Democrats have voted so far in 2016, while the Republican Party has just over 95,000. More than 78,000 of these voters who have nothing to do with either party also voted there.




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