But some experts say there is hope.
Dr. Paul Offit, director of the Vaccine Education Center at the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia and member of the US Food and Drug Administration’s vaccines and related biology, said that vaccines, spring weather, and the surprisingly large number of infections are all optimistic. The Product Advisory Committee said on Wednesday.
In addition, people expect that the incoming Biden administration will handle it better than the Trump administration.
Although the “horrible” number may worsen in the next few months, Offit believes that the United States may stop the spread of the virus by June.
Offit believes that the situation “will get better soon.”
Dr. Georges Benjamin, executive director of the American Public Health Association, agrees. He said: “We can see the light at the end of the tunnel.” He added that the vaccine “shows us the way forward.”
Countries are still working hard to bring vaccines into people’s arms. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, only about 35% of the vaccines distributed to the states are given to people. The US government’s “Warp Speed Operation” has only successfully delivered about 10 million doses to state and local governments, which is half of the dose it promised to distribute and manage by the end of 2020.
Benjamin said: “There is still no way. To start and run the vaccination plan, there is still a lot of work to be done.”
However, the number of people vaccinated is steadily increasing. The state passes 500,000 vaccinations a day on average-this gives Benjamin confidence that the country can reach 1 million or more per day.
Offit is also hopeful to enter the Biden administration and pointed out that the president-elect Biden’s team “is this cult denialism” surrounded by the Trump administration’s coronavirus response and will “take the head of this issue.”
Benjamin believes that the Biden team will make more use of the National Defense Production Law to ensure a stable and reliable supply of vaccines. He also looked forward to better coordination among governments.
Dr. Amesh Adalia, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins University Health Security Center and an infectious disease doctor, told the Biden government’s plan to increase home testing, rejoin the World Health Organization and restore national security pandemic workers Express appreciation to the council.
He also hopes that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention can operate independently under the leadership of the Biden administration. Adalia said: “The reason why we can’t really solve this pandemic is because the CDC cannot take the actions they usually take in an infectious disease emergency.”
Offit said: “The weather gets warmer and the weather gets warmer, which makes this virus more difficult.” He said that this virus, which is spread by small droplets, should not spread so easily when it is hot and humid.
Benjamin also pointed out that people can spend more time outdoors when the weather gets warmer across the United States. People can maintain greater distances when they are outside and do not share the same air-therefore, there is less chance that the virus will spread from one person to another.
Adalia said: “This virus will make it more difficult to spread from person to person, especially when people are outdoors in summer.”
He added: “We didn’t really see seasonality this summer because there are many people who are not immune to this virus.” “Even under summer weather conditions, (this virus) still finds it easy to find new people. To get infected.”
Enhance herd immunity
Offit said that another reason for optimism is that a large number of Americans may have been infected and are now immune to the virus.
Although 23 million have been diagnosed and reported, this number is still underestimated. Many people have asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic infections and have never been tested. Offit said the number of people infected may be close to 65 or 70 million.
He said: “20% of the population will not be infected with this virus when they are exposed again.” It is not clear how long the immunity can last after infection, but studies have shown that it takes at least eight or nine months, or even Longer.
If another 55% to 60% of the population can be vaccinated-Offfit said that one million to one million half-dose vaccines can be vaccinated every day-“Then I do think that by June, we can stop the vaccine. virus.”
Benjamin said: “History tells us that these things have disappeared. You have to do something to make them disappear.” “Even in 1918, 1919, people were infected, and the world had to experience that miserably. A certain balance was achieved, herd immunity was gained, and it ended.”
Dr. Aaron Glatt, spokesperson for the American Society of Infectious Diseases and President of the American Society of Infectious Diseases, said: “I think this epidemic has a great potential to end in 2021, to be precise before the end of this year, or even in the fall Before.” West Nassau South Nassau’s medicine.
“However, if the vaccine is not distributed, or banned by heaven, this vaccine will definitely not work, nor will it work in the future.”
Dr. Sunny Jha, an anesthesiologist at the Keck School of Medicine at the University of Southern California, is also cautious.
Jaha said: “If we can expand the numbers, if we can get rid of hesitation, if we can eliminate false information, misinformation, I think I will be more optimistic.”
“But if you ask me today, based on what I see now, do I feel that we are moving forward as summer, I don’t think we will be there.
He said: “I am cautiously optimistic.” “I think we have the right mentality. I think if we eliminate the hesitation, we will be better off.”