Matt York/Associated Press
For months now, election officials have warned that the winner of the presidential election may still be unknown when election night ends.
In some states, regulations do not allow election workers to begin labor-intensive work and process mailed ballots before election day. Due to the record number of voters voting by mail, the influx may delay the final vote for several days.
In six particularly important states-Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin-the margin of victory is expected to be small, so it may be difficult to know who until their mail votes are fully calculated Won. To obtain a seat in the White House, 270 electoral votes are required-101 in these states.
Although election officials in the swing states of Michigan and Pennsylvania told voters that it may take a few days to fully calculate the results, officials in Arizona, Florida, and North Carolina can process mailed ballots in advance, They are expected to result faster. However, if the game in these states approaches, the time for the final election may be very long, because the absentee ballots are dripping in on the approaching election day.
The following is a detailed understanding of the expected results:
Arizona’s state law allows election officials to count mail votes in the two weeks before election day, so most votes received before this weekend will have been counted in advance. These records can be released around 10pm Eastern Time on election night and provide early voting results. Voting will be held at the polling station after election day.
Pre-calculated absentee ballots and in-person voting will constitute the majority of Arizona ballots, so it is possible to announce the winner on election night.
However, it may take until Thursday or Friday to count the absentee ballots sent before the general election, so if the game ends, it may still be uncertain late next week.
In Arizona and elsewhere where mail votes can be counted before election day, early records may show Joe Biden’s lead. However, when voting in person at night, the results may begin to turn to President Trump. On the bright side, with the last remaining email votes, all this could change again.
Lynne Sweet/Associated Press
Americans may know who won Florida before they go to bed on election night.
Unlike Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, Florida allows counties to perform processing tasks such as sorting and opening envelopes in the weeks before the election. Also unlike other states, this state does not allow a grace period to receive mail voting after the election day.
Florida State Department of Communications Director Mark Ard said that all pre-listed early ballots and mail ballots should be released around 7:30 p.m. Eastern Time.
Michael McDonald, a political scientist at the University of Florida, told the South Florida Sun Sentinel: “If the election is decisive enough, we should be able to call Florida on election night.”
Like Arizona, those early and mailed ballots calculated in advance and released first will be more beneficial to Biden, who is balanced shortly after the polls are over and the live voting is conducted.
However, some counties may take longer to complete the counting of mail ballots that arrive before and after election day. If the election is approaching, you may have to wait until Wednesday or Thursday for these counties to complete the counting of votes to determine who won the Sunshine State.
David Goldman/Associated Press
“This may require The office of Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson wrote on Thursday: “Until Friday, November 6th, all votes will not be counted. Depending on the tightness of the game, this probably means that the outcome will not be determined on Tuesday. .”
In Michigan, election officials in cities with more than 25,000 residents can begin processing mail ballots, sorting ballots, and removing envelopes at 10 am on Monday. However, they cannot be counted until the polls are over.
Historically, Detroit has been an important base for the Democratic Party and it has been difficult to count election results. At a press conference on Thursday, Detroit City Officer Janice Winfrey said that the city has hired thousands of pollsters to improve the process, but warned that the final result will not be It was ready on Tuesday night and talked about the idea of ”election week”. . “
Winfrey said: “Time is not our real concern.” “We want to make sure that the election day has been handled correctly, receiving and listing every voter and every vote.”
Like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, Michigan Democrats are expected to vote disproportionately by mail. If you start to publish personal statistics before the mail polls are totaled, this may show that President Trump was in the lead at first, and as more mail polls are counted, his lead will shrink or disappear.
North Carolina is another state, and initial results should come soon.
The North Carolina State Electoral Commission estimates that 80% of the votes will be conducted in advance or by mail, and the poll will be released at the end of 7:30 p.m. Eastern Time.
Karen Brinson-Bell, executive director of the North Carolina State Electoral Commission, said Thursday: “For about 20% of North Carolina who voted on Election Day, we will also receive Ballots and upload them.” “So, if there is a race, the ballots on election day will be crucial to the results of these elections.”
The preliminary results may benefit Democrats, who are more likely to vote by mail. As the number of votes on election day reaches, Republican votes may flood in.
North Carolina accepts voting by mail sent before November 12, but must postmark the election day, which is a policy recently maintained by the US Supreme Court. Therefore, as in other states with a large number of mailing deadlines, if the competition is tight and the final result is still unclear in the days after election day, the final vote may be important.
Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar said that the “overwhelming majority” of votes will be cleared on Friday, November 6.
Governor Tom Wolf said Thursday: “We believe this will take more time than before.” “We may not know the results of election night.”
Pennsylvania election officials can accept mail voting within up to three days after the election, but must be postmarked by November 3.
Many counties stated that they would process ballots as soon as permitted starting at 7 am on election day, but a very small number of people, such as Cumberland County outside Harrisburg, said they would not start processing absentee ballots until Wednesday.
Boockvar said Thursday: “We are in dialogue with any county that says it is waiting.” “I hope that each of them will start on election day.”
Matt Slocum/Associated Press
Erie County moved from Obama to Trump in 2016 and will start processing absentee ballots on election day, but will wait until 11pm after counting in-person ballots about.
In Lerzerne County, where Wilkes-Barre is located, the county manager David Pedri told National Public Radio that the county hopes to count most of the mailed votes on Tuesday night, but Have to wait until Wednesday or Thursday to complete. He said that from 7 in the morning to 9 in the evening or 10 in the evening, he had 40 people working and then counting the votes. Pedri said keeping them on the clock for long periods of time may lead to mistakes.
Pedri said that in the primary election, it took four days to count the votes of 40,000 mails. Since then, they have added envelope opening machines to speed up the process, but this fall, Lucerne sent 70,000 mail votes, accounting for one-third of voters.
In Bucks County, outside Philadelphia, Commissioner Robert Harvie told NPR that officials would announce the results of the vote in person and by mail starting at 10 o’clock on election night. He said it is difficult to know how long it will take because they don’t know how many absentee votes will be refunded, but he is confident that it will be completed “by Friday.”
If the 2020 election falls in Pennsylvania, and the difference is small, the election may last for a few days.
the state of Wisconsin
Governor Tony Evers said earlier this month: “I believe we will be able to know the results of the Wisconsin state election, hopefully that night, or the next day at the latest.”
Wisconsin cannot start most of its processing until Election Day, but most counties said they hope to complete the inventory by Wednesday morning.
Milwaukee County election director Julietta Henry said she expects the county to complete the reporting of absentee ballots between 3 am and 6 am Wednesday.
She said: “If it takes longer, then we just ask you to wait patiently, because we want to make sure that every ballot is counted and counted accurately.” “We will be here until it’s done.”
State law stipulates that this work cannot be suspended once it starts, so election staff may have to work all night, even though the election commission has expressed tolerance.
Reed Magney, a press officer with the Wisconsin State Electoral Commission, said: “There will definitely be smaller towns and the results will appear as usual.” “But in some larger cities, especially in central locations instead of voting. The place where absentee voting takes place, we may not see all the results until the next morning.”