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Home / US / These charts show the severity of the Covid-19 fall sales surge in the U.S.

These charts show the severity of the Covid-19 fall sales surge in the U.S.



Until September, the daily number of cases was declining, as the country is rebounding from the high tide of summer.

But the infection roared in an unprecedented way.

According to data from Johns Hopkins University, Wednesday recorded the highest total number of daily infections in the history of the United States (over 143,000), while the new recorded average has 7 days per day (over 127,000).

This average is more than 3.5 times lower than the summer high of $34,198 on September 12.

Moreover, the number is much higher than the 7-day peak in summer, which was approximately 67,100 on July 22.

There is good news recently: According to reports, a candidate vaccine is more than 90% effective. The Secretary of Health and Human Services said that the vaccine may be widely used in the second quarter of 2021
. This week the US Food and Drug Administration approved a new antibody therapy that can reduce the risk of hospitalization for patients with mild to moderate disease.

However, due to the cold weather, dangerous indoor gatherings may result, and there is no vaccine available at the moment, experts warn that there is still room for daily infections to grow.

Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, told CNN on Monday: “If there are more than 200,000 new cases appearing every day in the next few weeks, it will not make me Surprised.”

We should emphasize that this chart records the reported cases. Studies estimate that infections are greatly underestimated, especially in the early stages of the pandemic, partly because of limited testing capabilities.

Some health experts say that hospitalization can more accurately measure the severity of the pandemic-although the rising number of cases is a warning sign because the patient’s hospitalization can proceed well after diagnosis.

Test positive

The positive test rate is the percentage of people who are tested and eventually become infected. Interest rates in the United States have been rising in recent weeks.

According to the COVID Tracking Project, as of early Thursday, the country’s test-positive rate in 7 days averaged 8.7%.

This is higher than the highest seven-day average (approximately 7.9%) in the summer in mid-July.

In May, the World Health Organization advised governments not to reopen until the positive test rate reaches 5% or lower for at least 14 days.
The director of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Dr. Robert Redfield (Robert Redfield) suggested that the community’s positive rate should be less than 5% to open schools comfortably.
The Coordinator of the White House Coronavirus Task Force, Dr. Deborah Birx, said that the positive test rate is the closest statistic she has observed because it shows how the coronavirus is doing at any given time and place. “Most sensitive indicator”.

Hospitalization

According to reports, there are now more Covid-19 patients in American hospitals than at any time before the pandemic.

According to the COVID Tracking Project, about 65,300 coronavirus patients were in these facilities on Wednesday.

Some hospitals have run out of medical staff.What will happen next

This is more than double the amount since September 20, when the country was at a post-summer low of 28,608.

It exceeded the summer peak of 59,718 on July 23 and the spring peak of 59,940 on April 15.

The two co-founders of the COVID tracking project wrote in an online post on Wednesday: “The new hospitalization records indicate that we have entered the worst period of the pandemic since the outbreak in the Northeast.”

The article reads: “These hospitalizations prove that the current surge in Covid-19 cases is not only the result of screening asymptomatic people. On the contrary, the cases we are testing are the main indicator that many people are seriously ill.”

Certain hospital systems have indicated in recent days that they are almost overwhelmed.

Seventeen states reported Covid-19 hospitalization records on Tuesday: Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Ohio States, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Dakota, Tennessee, Wisconsin, and Wyoming, the tracking project said.

Over time, the number of hospitalizations may become more accurate-the COVID Tracking Project states that Florida will not report hospitalizations until July 10.

death toll

The country’s recently announced Covid-19 daily death toll has not reached record levels, but it is still rising.

Since the summer, the average daily death toll this week exceeded 1,000 for the first time this week.

Johns Hopkins (Johns Hopkins) data showed that Wednesday the average was higher than 1,130, the highest level since August 1.

Despite the emergence of new infections, the death rate from Covid-19 has not increased at such a rapid rate in Europe and the United States.This does not mean that the virus is less lethal

On Wednesday alone, more than 2,000 deaths were reported. The data may reflect a new high since May, although Georgia’s statistics may be on the high side, which may include a backlog of deaths.

The Institute of Health Indicators and Evaluation of the University of Washington predicts that if government leaders retain the current social distancing directives, or even add some directives, by December 1, more than 1,650 people in the United States may die every day on average. On average, more than 2,200 people died.

This reminds people of records at the beginning of the pandemic, when more than 2,000 deaths were reported every day in April. On April 24, the highest daily average of the week was 2,241.

Experts say that the number of deaths caused by the current infection seems to be fewer than in the early days of the pandemic. Part of the reason is that the treatment of this disease has changed and the proportion of young people infected has increased.

But as hospitalization breaks records, the daily mortality rate may rise further.

“Since the spring, the ratio of hospitalization rates to deaths has dropped significantly,” the COVID Tracking Project wrote in a post published on Wednesday. “But it’s true that no matter where we increase in hospitalization, the death toll will rise in two to three weeks.”

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