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Home / Health / The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) predicts that the number of Covid cases in the U.S. will surge by May due to the fact that the B.1.1.7 variant preceded the “precipitous decline”

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) predicts that the number of Covid cases in the U.S. will surge by May due to the fact that the B.1.1.7 variant preceded the “precipitous decline”



On March 8, 2021, medical staff sent the patient to the emergency room of Maimonides Medical Center in Brooklyn, New York, USA.

Michael Nager | Xinhua News Agency | Getty Images

According to new data released by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Wednesday, as the highly contagious B.1

.1.7 variant spreads in the United States, Covid-19 cases may surge again in the United States, peaking in May, and sharply in July. decline. .

The CDC said in the report that as states relax their pandemic prevention strategies for businesses, large gatherings and schools, Covid cases are expected to increase. .

The agency predicted the trajectory of the pandemic based on four different scenarios of vaccination rates and state reopening. Although the number of cases in each case is different, the overall direction of the outbreak remains basically the same in all four predictions, with cases showing an upward trend in May and a downward trend in July.

The US agency said that although Covid cases are expected to increase this month, the number of hospitalizations and deaths across the country may still be low. As more Americans are vaccinated with the virus, the number of cases is expected to decline by July.

Federal health officials wrote in the report that high vaccination rates and compliance with pandemic safety measures are “critical to control COVID-19 and prevent a surge in hospitalizations and deaths in the coming months.”

At the White House Covid press conference later Wednesday, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Dr. Rochelle Walensky, said that these predictions should remind Americans that “we have a way to go this way. “.

She said: “Although we have made progress in reducing cases, hospitalizations and deaths, the variants are wildcards that can reverse the progress we have made.” “We see that our current vaccines are preventing the pollutant variants that are circulating in the country. Jane In other words, the sooner we vaccinate more and more people, the sooner we will return to normal.”

According to data from Johns Hopkins University, the rate of new infections per day on weekends has dropped to below 50,000 per day, and continues to decline, because the latest 7 days averaged 48,100 cases per day.

The new data was released just before Memorial Day and the July 4th holiday. President Joe Biden has stated that he wants to see Americans vaccinated on Independence Day safely enough to hold small outdoor gatherings.

On Tuesday, Biden announced his government’s latest goal in the fight against the coronavirus: 70% of American adults will receive at least one dose of Covid vaccine, and 160 million adults will be fully vaccinated by July 4.

According to data collected by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), as of Tuesday, more than 145 million Americans aged 18 and over, or 56.4% of the total adult population, had received at least one dose of the Covid-19 vaccine. According to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), more than 105 million Americans aged 18 and over received full immunization, accounting for 40.8% of the total adult population.

In recent weeks, the pace of people receiving the first dose of the vaccine has declined, although US health officials say they are working to improve their chances of getting vaccinated and encouraging more hesitant Americans to get vaccinated.

The CDC used data from the COVID-19 Program Modeling Center, which developed six models to assess the potential course of Covid-19 in the United States in four programs. The researchers considered the vaccination rate and the implementation of policies such as wearing masks and social distancing.

In addition, these forecasts are based on data as of the end of March, when Covid cases were rebounding.

– CNBC’s Nate Rattner contributed to this report.


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