WASHINGTON-The withdrawal of Donald Trump has brought a more normal rhythm to Washington’s politics, but beyond Belway, deeper forces are reshaping the guerrilla pattern.
Data from the NBC News poll shows that voters made up of the two main parties are changing, and employment is changing dramatically: the types of jobs that Democrats and Republicans do. There are signs that the Republican Party is becoming the party of blue-collar Americans in all races and ethnic population groups, and this change is happening rapidly.
If the movement continues, it may have a great impact on the future of the Republican Party. Consider the scale of the overall change.
In the past decade, the proportion of blue-collar voters who call themselves Republicans has increased by 1
But this blue-collar shift is worth noting because it may have policy implications for both parties. On issues such as trade and even Wall Street regulation, blue-collar voters tend to look to the government for something different from white-collar voters.
After the election, Republican voters and former President Trump unanimously asked the government to provide more COVID relief funds, and we have seen signs of what this change may mean. Usually, in connection with Republicans, larger cash outlays are not a policy choice.
In this way, the Republican Party’s blue-collar transformation has the potential to reshape the party, especially when you look at how far-reaching it is.
You can see this among white, non-Hispanic voters who make up the majority of the Republican Party.
With these voters, the numbers reflect a massive shift-the Republican Party gained a 12-point increase.
However, for Republicans, the blue-collar crowd has also spread to other voter groups, including those that usually have difficulty reaching the Republican Party. In the past decade, Spanish blue-collar voters have left the Republican Party.
The 13-point gain is impressive, even greater than the growth of blue-collar whites among Republicans, and it will certainly be regarded as a bright spot in the party when it seeks to find ways to enter the rapidly developing nation. group. For many years, it has been thought that Democrats have the inside story of winning Hispanic voters, but this is not the case, especially among blue-collar Hispanics.
You can even see the increase in the number of blue-collar Republicans among African Americans, a voter who has caused serious problems for the Republican Party for a long time.
To be clear, these numbers are still small. But considering the Republican Party’s struggle to win voters, even a bit of a positive movement is something that the party welcomes. In the end, elections are all about profits. In states with close votes, groups that reduce 7 percentage points can reduce dividends.
Together, these figures show that the Republican Party has not only made substantial progress with blue-collar voters, but the party is increasingly relying on blue-collar voters as a key (or even not a key) component of its alliance.
Political strategists often debate the best way to win voters: Is cultural or economic attractiveness better? These data indicate that the economic appeal may provide the Republican Party with the best way to expand its appeal. However, this path may mean readjusting policies and methods to better resonate with blue-collar voters.
With the in-depth development of the Republican party war, there is another point: With the increase in these numbers, most of the growth of the Republican blue-collar class occurred during Donald Trump’s presidency. If this is the way Republicans choose to move forward, it may mean bringing the party closer to the former president.