After several weeks of single-digit supply, the utilization rate of intensive care units in the Gulf region jumped to 23.4% on Saturday, which strongly suggests that the worst period in the past is the past.
However, it is not clear when the region can stand out from the state’s home order. When the availability of the ICU is expected to exceed 15% in the next four weeks, the order should be cancelled.
The Bay Area, which includes the nine core counties and Monterey and Santa Cruz counties, currently far exceeds this threshold.
The 13 counties of Sacramento were lifted from the state blockade a week ago. However, the ICU capacity in the region is still 11.9%, which is only more than half of the current data in the Bay Area.
State public health officials could not be contacted immediately on Saturday to comment on when the lockdown of the Gulf region can be lifted and why the Gulf region is still locked down, while Sacramento (with worse ICU numbers) has not.
Marin County Public Health Officer Matt Willis told the Chronicle on Saturday that these numbers look good, adding that he hopes the Bay Area blockade will be lifted in the near future.
He said: “This is the state’s requirement.” “But we are all looking at the same numbers, and we are all hopeful.”
San Francisco Mayor London Variety said on Friday that the city may “soon begin to reopen in accordance with California guidelines” as the city’s coronavirus transmission rate has fallen.
“This means that for every person who gets COVID-19, on average, they will pass it on to less than one person. We are slowing down the spread,” Brad wrote on Twitter.
The COVID-19 fertility rate in San Francisco is back below 1, at 0.99!
This means that for every person who gets COVID-19, on average, they will pass it on to less than one person. We are slowing down the spread.
If this situation continues, we will soon reopen according to CA’s guidelines.
—London Breed (@LondonBreed), January 22, 2021
Lifting the lock will restore the Bay Area to activities permitted by the state’s purple level, including outdoor dining. Outdoor gatherings with people outside the household can also be resumed, but the limit is up to three households. The hair salon can resume serving customers indoors. However, each state can decide to continue to prohibit certain activities, separate from the order of the state government.
California health officials used a complex formula that has not yet been made public to anticipate the availability of the ICU in four weeks. A spokesperson for the Department of Public Health, Ali Bay, said in an email to the Associated Press: “At present, these predictions have not been made public.”
After orders in the Sacramento area are cancelled, the availability of the ICU is approximately 9%.
The chairman of the San Mateo County Board of Supervisors, David Canepa (David Canepa) said the lack of state explanations has caused confusion, which is contrary to what the state should do.
He said that the information should be “clear, concise, and most importantly, avoid confusion.”
Canepa added that the numbers look encouraging.
He said: “I am worried that the public will hear the news and think it is safe to go out with the usual attitude.” “I also want to eat in my favorite restaurant, but now I will stay at home to order Takeaway. If we can reduce these numbers next month, then I’ll say yes. I will be the first person to have a haircut in a barbershop.”
He said: “At the same time, if you can, please stay home, avoid parties, and wear a damn mask.”
This story is developing.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Lauren Hernández and Jill Tucker are staff writers for the San Francisco Chronicle. Email: email@example.com firstname.lastname@example.org Twitter: @ByLHernandez @jilltucker