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Home / World / Taiwanese anxiety increases with the increase of sabers

Taiwanese anxiety increases with the increase of sabers

The tank traps on the beaches of Kinmen Island are a clear reminder that life in Taiwan is under constant threat of Chinese invasion, and fears about the outbreak of conflict are now at their highest level in decades.

Democratic Taiwan has learned to accept the warning from Beijing’s authoritarian leaders that they are ready and willing to seize what it considers to be part of its territory.

However, as Chinese jets entered Taiwan’s defense zone at an unprecedented speed, the People’s Liberation Army issued propaganda to simulate the island’s invasion and even attacked the US base in Guam. This background movement has recently reached a level that cannot be ignored. .

Since the mid-1

990s, when China fired missiles into the Taiwan Strait when tensions increased, the sound of sword strikes was so loud.

Related video: Taiwan launches laser every night before National Day

Freshman Wang Ruisheng sits under a pavilion at Golden Gate National University, a Taiwan-dominated island near mainland China. He said he felt a little uneasy.

He told Agence France-Presse: “China is angry with Taiwan and its behavior is even more barbaric.”

“I am worried about the possibility of a military conflict between the two parties, even in the near future.”

Kinmen (population 140,000) is only 2 miles (3.2 kilometers) away from the mainland. After the Chinese Civil War ended in 1949, it was controlled by the Kuomintang army, forming mainland China and Taiwan.

If Beijing’s troops had ever crossed the Taiwan Strait, they would almost certainly adopt Kinmen first.

Moreover, if a war breaks out, it is easy to get into trouble in the United States-putting two armies with nuclear weapons against each other.

Ian Easton, the author of a book on what war might be like, says the world is ignoring the spiral of tension in the Taiwan Strait into crisis.

The senior director of the “2049 Project” research institute, a think tank specializing in China-Taiwan affairs, told AFP: “This is the most dangerous, unstable, and most important flashpoint on the planet.”

Historically, Beijing has used carrots and sticks to find what it considers to be China’s unification, equating its beautiful promise of common prosperity with the extinction warning to Taiwan’s 23 million residents.

But in recent years, carrots have almost disappeared.

Four years ago, Taiwan voted for Tsai Ing-wen, who regarded Taiwan as a sovereign country and not part of “One China.”

China cut off official communications and increased economic, military, and diplomatic pressure, with the goal of prompting voters to choose another politician who is more friendly to Beijing next time.

It’s useless that Tsai won his second term in January with an overwhelming advantage. Opinion polls show that more and more voters now regard themselves as Taiwanese instead of Chinese.

The failure to win the hearts of the Taiwanese-Beijing’s repression of Hong Kong and Xinjiang has intensified-may explain why President Xi Jinping has taken the best stance against Taiwan since the Mao Zedong era.

Xi Jinping lifted the presidential term limit two years ago, and he made no secret of his goals.

He described Taiwan’s takeover as “an inevitable requirement for the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation”, and his goal is to complete it between the 100th anniversary of China’s founding and 2049.

During a trip to the PLA base earlier this month, he told the troops to “prepare for war.”

Captain James Vannell, former director of naval intelligence for the US Pacific Fleet, believes that China will move to Taiwan in some form within the next ten years.

He told Agence France-Presse at the Geneva Security Policy Center: “The reality is that China has been making plans and on a timetable.” He joined the Geneva Security Policy Center after retiring in 2015.

“We are now in the focus of ten years.”

During his career, Fanell has witnessed the transformation of China from a brown water force confined to its coast to a navy with global capabilities, which is equipped with better hypersonic missiles and more ships than the United States. .

Vannell said: “For every ship we produce, their output is five times that of the latter.”

He added that the reason Beijing’s current design in Taiwan is so dangerous compared to previous tensions is that China may now have enough military power to occupy the island, even though any invasion will pay a huge price.

It is unclear whether the United States will provide assistance to Taiwan in the event of an attack. Unlike Japan, South Korea and the Philippines, Taiwan is not an ally of the treaty.

However, Washington is bound by Congress and must sell Taiwan’s weapons to defend itself, and it opposes any powerful changes to Taiwan’s status.

This policy, known as “strategic ambiguity,” aims to resist invasion without directly confronting China.

However, given China’s more decisive attitude, there is more and more bipartisan discussion about whether the United States is needing to shift to strategic clarity.

Easton said: “If Taiwan is conquered and occupied by the People’s Republic of China (China), then the US alliance system in Asia will be destroyed.”

When the administration of US President Donald Trump clashed over a series of issues between Taiwan and Beijing, it must have embraced Taiwan.

Trump is more willing than his predecessors to sell major weapon systems to Taiwan’s gun forces.

In the past three years, the United States has agreed to transactions worth at least $15 billion, including a new generation of F16 fighter jets and mobile missile platforms.

It is unclear whether Trump’s challenger Joe Biden will win the general election next week and will adopt a similar stance towards Taiwan.

When the big powers quarreled, the people living in Kinmen desperately hoped that such weapons would no longer be needed.

“I don’t want to see that both sides will suffer the outbreak of war,” said Cai Yanmei, a mainland Chinese who married a Taiwanese man and lives in Kinmen.

She said: “I want to live a stable life.” “I enjoy Taiwan’s democracy and freedom.”

aw-jta / je / th

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