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Home / US / Strong early turnout gives Dems hope of Georgia runoff

Strong early turnout gives Dems hope of Georgia runoff



At the same time, early voting In the Republican-controlled congressional district, turnout has been lagging, and it is likely that Republican Senators Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue will have a larger deficit on election day than they had to make up on November 3. The earlier final vote led to the NDP vote. One year holiday.

The two sides have been closely tracking the submitted spot and absent ballots, looking for data on the state of the game after the very close game in November, and there is less than a week left to adjust the end time. Advertising strategy for voting and voting next Tuesday.

Although early voting numbers can provide some comfort for Democrats, they are difficult to predict: Republican officials have always expected that election day performance will be better than Democrats.Republican voters have long favored The people who cast the votes, on election day, but after the partisanship of the vote became sharper, President Donald Trump spent many years criticizing the mail-in vote and attacking the management of Georgia’s November election.

However, at least so far, the strong performance of the Democrats has put more pressure on Republicans to run on election day. Two Republican senators rely on Trump’s turnout next week: The president held the last rally of the election cycle on Monday night in one of the most Republican corners of the state, in an effort to bring his supporters into the polls In areas where they need to win by a large margin.

A copy shows that senior Republican agent Karl Rove leads the joint fundraising committee of Loeffler, Perdue and the National Republican Senate Committee. Memo obtained by POLITICO.

“Although the total number of absent mail and face-to-face early voting has so far been a few points higher than in the fall, this is most likely due to early voting by voters. Two days have been cut,”

; Rove wrote in the memo, referring to In fact, the early voting sites were closed on Christmas Eve and Christmas day. “We expect that the number of Republicans will continue to rise this week, and the forecast shows that the weather will be good on January 5th.”

Rove added: “President Trump’s visit to Dalton on Monday night, January 4, will greatly boost Republican voter turnout.”

For Democrats, the simple fact that the turnout rate is so high is already positive.Due to the large loss of Democratic voters, the party has been struggling in Georgia’s electoral districts, and Democratic voters In November, this trend does not seem to continue this year.

It is impossible to draw definitive conclusions from the early voting numbers, and operators who track trends are cautious so as not to predict the outcome of January 5 based on the votes so far. But this trend shows that even in states where the Senate is a senator, the Democrats have a high voter turnout, and Democrats will hold close elections. The candidate’s performance is not as narrow as Joe Biden’s narrow Victory two months ago.

“Everything I heard seems to be good. I am waiting for another pair of shoes to fall, but this is not the same as in 2018.” said Chris Huttman, a senior agent in the state. Voting numbers.

After more voters failed to support, the Democrats lost two voteless elections in 2018. But that election was held in December and did not include the high stakes of the two Senate contests, resulting in a completely different turnout situation. Hertman warned that although the vote so far seems good for Democrats, election day is still an unknown.

Hertman said: “I can tell you that the bright side of the moon looks good. I don’t know what the dark side of the moon will look like. I know that in 2018, I think the bright side looks bad.'”

Hertman said his analysis showed that Democrats won 80% of the early voting rights they received in November, while Republicans could only get two-thirds of their early voting rights.

According to voter data analyzed by the Democratic Party, among the Democratic-controlled congressional districts, the percentage of voters who voted earlier in the general election was higher than that in the Republican-controlled congressional districts. GeorgiaVotes.com, It has tracked early voting records throughout the voting period. Republicans are aware of this shortcoming, but rely on the operation of turnout to drive those voters to vote next Tuesday.

A Republican agent who requested anonymity asked to speak frankly. He said that the problem with the Republican Party’s early voting was not the large number of Democrats, but the lag in their own region. Due to early voting during the holidays (including the two days when the venue was closed last week), the Republicans hope that more voters plan to vote on election day.

“I am very satisfied with what we did there,” the agent said of their ground game. “We always knew that Georgia was going to shut down. We knew our shortcomings. We knew what we were going to do.”

Democrats prioritize early and absentee voting over Republicans, which is the expected advantage. Democrats see this as a firewall for the Republican Party next week. However, the high turnout of blacks, coupled with the thousands of new voters who did not vote in November, are positive indicators.

Although Biden won the state’s victory by a narrow margin, Perdue was nearly 100,000 votes faster than Ossoff, and Republicans received more votes than Democrats in special elections for other seats in the Senate. Tall. In order to succeed in the election, the Democratic Party needs a more favorable voter and believes that there are signs that the vote may come true.

Tom Bonier, CEO of TargetSmart, said that so far, the votes among the major Democratic voters bode well for the party, although he cautioned against over-explaining the premature vote. Try to predict the outcome of the election.

“We know they will win election day, but they will have enough to erase this advantage?” Bonnier said of Republicans. “It seems very clear that they need a wider advantage to win election day than they did in November.”

Throughout the election process, Perdue and Loeffler have been encouraging their base to vote early and will continue to do so this week to close the gap. So far, the weather forecast for Tuesday is sunny and pleasant. But this did not stop the warning about waiting.

Perdue said in a radio program on Monday by conservative commentator Hugh Hewitt: “You never know the weather next week. Next week is only Tuesday. You must go out and vote before Thursday. . We are just telling everyone in the state that you cannot vote without the opportunity.”


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