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Home / US / Stanford University researchers say Trump campaign rally led to 30,000 cases

Stanford University researchers say Trump campaign rally led to 30,000 cases



US President Donald Trump addresses supporters at a campaign rally outside Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida, October 29, 2020.

Paul Hennessy | NurPhoto | Getty Images

A new paper published by Stanford University researchers shows that President Donald Trump’s campaign rally will result in more than 30,000 coronavirus cases.

Researchers looked at 1

8 Trump rallies held between June 20 and September 22 and analyzed Covid-19 data a few weeks after each incident. They compared the county where the event was held with other counties with similar trajectories of confirmed Covid-19 cases before the rally date. According to this research, of the 18 assemblies analyzed, only 3 were indoors.

Researchers found that the rally eventually resulted in 30,000 confirmed Covid-19 cases. They also concluded that the rally may have killed more than 700 people, although not necessarily the participants.

The researchers said these findings support the warnings and recommendations of public health officials on the risks of spreading Covid-19 at large group gatherings, “especially when compliance with guidelines on the use of masks and social distancing is low.”

B. Douglas Bernheim, dean of the Department of Economics at Stanford University and the lead author of the paper, said: “The community where the Trump rally is located has paid a high price for disease and death.”

The paper has not been peer reviewed and has been published on the open preprint platform SSRN.

In response to the document, Courtney Parella, a Trump campaign spokesperson, said: “Americans have the right to assemble under the “First Amendment” to listen to the opinions of the US President.

“We have taken strong precautions during the campaign, requiring every participant to take a temperature check, provide a mask for them to wear, and ensure that a large amount of hand sanitizer is used. We also have signs in the event to instruct participants Put on a mask. ,” she added.

After the newspaper was published, a spokesperson for Joe Biden’s campaign issued a statement saying that Trump “is sacrificing hundreds of lives and has caused thousands of cases with the gathering of super communicators who only serve himself.”

“The worst thing is that this didn’t even capture the many super-spreading incidents that occurred during Trump’s last five weeks in the White House or across the country. How many people had their lives changed during that time? Because of Donald · Trump’s arrogance is on kitchen tables across the United States?” spokesman Andrew Bates said.

The researchers said they must overcome “significant challenges”, acknowledging that the dynamics of Covid-19 are “complex”, and “even the most superficial data checks show that the process of controlling the spread of Covid-19 is different from county to county of. “

As the coronavirus continues to spread rapidly in the United States, this new study has emerged. CNBC’s analysis of Johns Hopkins University data showed that the United States continued to hit new infection highs this week, and Friday set a record of 99,321 new cases per day, bringing the average number of new cases per day for seven days Reached a new high of 78,738.

Trump is often criticized for holding intimate gatherings during the pandemic, sometimes thousands of people. He tried to downplay the virus, often linking the increase in Covid-19 cases to more testing. However, public health officials and infectious disease experts disputed this statement, saying that the test result was positive and the hospitalization rate was also rising.

The nation’s leading infectious disease expert, Dr. Anthony Fauci, said on Friday that the United States reported that people will spend more time indoors before the arrival of winter. “The number of cases per day is very high. unacceptable”.

Fauci told SiriusXM’s “Doctor Broadcast Report” that: “In the next few weeks to months, we are in an unstable state.” He called on people to continue to wear masks, maintain social distancing, and spend as much outdoors as possible. Time.


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