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SAG championship analysis: Chadwick Boseman, will Viola Davis set off for the Oscars?



The SAG awards keep pace with the winners and set out to explore the list of the most important Oscar winners in the 93-year history of the Oscars.

In a one-hour rehearsal through Zoom on Sunday night, the celebration of the 27th annual celebration was revealed, which was voted by a vote of approximately 160,000 actors.

Aaron Sorkin’s “Trial of the Chicago 7” won the highest award for the performance ensemble that night, which was the first major victory of the award season. In the performance film, “Ma Renee’s “Black Background” actors Chadwick Boseman (Chadwick Boseman) and Viola Davis (Viola Davis) won the male and female actor categories. Daniel Kaluuya (“Judas and the Black Messiah”

😉 and Yurong Yun (“Minari”) landed the male and female supporting statues.

This marks the first time that all four film performance categories in SAG’s history have appeared on actors of color.

Boseman’s posthumous victory was the first place in all leading categories in the SAG awards, which brought him closer to the Oscars. In addition to winning the “Critics’ Choice Award” and the “Golden Globe”, even if Anthony Hopkins (“father”) has home court advantage throughout the pond area, next week’s BAFTA can further consolidate his front runner status. If Boseman does win the BAFTA, you must go back to 2002, when Russell Crowe (“Beautiful Mind”) lost the Oscar to Denzel Washington (“Training Day”) so that the nominee was regaining so many pioneers Lost after the winner. Coincidentally, that year, Halle Berry (“Monster Ball”) became the first and (still the only) black woman to win the protagonist actress category, which brought us into the mystery of the best actress of 2021.

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Meet Ma Rainey (VIOLA DAVIS).
David Lee/Netflix

Davis emerged from SAG (ranked third overall for her film performance), making her the fourth individual actress winner in the TV awards ceremony, an unprecedented female lead in 27 years. Andra Day in the Globe and Comedy (“America and Billy Holiday”) and Rosamund Pike in the Comedy (“I Care”), Carey · Carey Mulligan (“Promising Young Woman”) won the Critics’ Choice Award.

However, it is not easy to win both the actor and the heroine at the Oscars. The last time it happened was 23 years ago, in 1998, when Jack Nicholson and Helen Hunt both won “as they wished” and the movie also won Nominated for Best Picture. Not “Mar Reney’s black background”.

BAFTA will not make things clearer. The only Oscar nominations for Best Actress are Vanessa Kirby (“A Fragment of Women”) and Frances McDormand (“Nomads”).

For Kaluuya, his win is predictable, and together with Boseman, it seems to be the only certainty in the main category of the academy. Just like Boseman, if Kaluuya wins the BAFTA without nominating his closest competitor Sacha Baron Cohen (“Chicago 7 Trials”), it will be against BAFTA, Critics Choice, Golden Globe and Sag.

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In order to get the best supporting actress, Eun may have become the leader in this category. With six nominations for “Minari”, she can be the winner of the representative film, and more importantly, she will become the second Asian female actress in history after Miyoshi Umeki of Sayonara (1957). Critics’ favors are not all sewn, but Maria Bakalova is still a factor to consider. The two movie stars won from “The Critics’ Choice”, this will be the last time they have faced each other in BAFTA, and their other supporting actress opponents have not been nominated. It is safe to say that no matter who wins at BAFTA, it is likely to win at Oscars.

In the process of evaluating SAG winners and translating them into Oscar winners, they paired up seven times in 27 years, an average of three times a year. It is safe to say that someone will be absent, but who, who belongs to which category?

The 2001 awards year was the only two black actors who won the Oscars. Denzel Washington (“Training Day”) had an amazing dissatisfaction with Russell Crowe (“Beautiful Mind”), and Halle Berry (“Monster’s Ball”) was also the first black actress to win that category. Dave does not have BAFTA or SAG terms, nor does she have the only representative of her film at the Oscars, so her climbing is the most difficult. In this day and age, without BAFTA and SAG, no leading performance would have won an Oscar. In fact, only two actors have won without these two institutions: Marcia Gay Harden has starred in “Pollock” in the list of actresses for the past 20 years. (Pollock) (2001), Regina King played Regina King (Regina King) starred in “If Beale Street Could Talk” (2018). Only Charlize Theron (“Monster”) and Julianne Moore (“Still Alice”) became the only nominees for their films, sweeping their respective award seasons.

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Carey Mulligan played “Cassandra” in the director Emerald Fennell’s “PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN” in the focused feature version.
Credit: Provided by Focus Features

Provided by focus function

Do you want to know whether there are enough voters willing to spend time watching Day’s movies before Oscar night, especially in the handicraft competition, where about 63% of voters are watching? Davis’s film is expected to win four out of five nominations (actor, actress, costume and makeup). Will it become an “offline” vote? In addition, can “Mar Reney” become the most acclaimed movie of the night? In the history of the academy, is there no non-best film nominated film that won the championship on its own?

In the end, with the best films of SAG and Oscars, the two matched only 12 of the past 26 years. The last five are “Parasite” (2019), “Spotlight” (2015), “Birdman” (2014), “Ago” (2012) and “The King’s Speech” (2010). It is worth noting that Chloé Zhao’s “Nomadland” and Fennell’s “Promising Young Woman” were not nominated for chorus. Only “Brave Heart” (1995), “The Shape of Water” (2017) and “Green Book” (2018) won without a title.

Although this year’s Oscar nominee is the most diverse nominee ever, are we going to move towards a full-scale cast of people of color? If Zhao wins the director and her cinematography, it would be unimaginable ten years ago.

Oscars predictions (all categories)




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