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Research has not shifted in the direction of Trump-2020 election update



A new “Wall Street Journal”/”NBC News” study so far has not found any evidence that the recent surge in undecided voters against President Trump helped him to gain in 2016 Unexpected victory.

When pollsters asked themselves how many missed signs that Trump would win the 2016 election, one of the factors they determined was the approaching Trump in the final days of the campaign.

A report by the Association of Professional Opinion Researchers found that approximately 13% of voters in Wisconsin, Florida, and Pennsylvania decided their candidate selection a week before the last election. According to the study, these voters won 30 percent of the vote for Trump in Wisconsin and 17 percent of the vote in Florida and Pennsylvania, which contributed to a trivial victory.

This month, the “Wall Street Journal”

;/”National Broadcasting Corporation News” polls have been looking for similar, late signs of change, and found a different picture from 2016. The hesitant voters seem to be moving towards the two presidential candidates.

This research is not a formal opinion poll, but a series of questions for 184 voters who responded to the Journal/NBC News survey between June and September. In the initial interview, they hinted that they were not sure or just temporarily supported the candidate.

The survey found that in recent months, many of these voters have selected candidates because the percentage of non-commitments has dropped from 31% to 18%. They turned almost equally to Mr. Trump and his challenger, former Vice President Joe Biden. Overall, this group of voters prefer Mr. Biden to President Biden.

“We see in these types of voters that there is evidence that Trump will have an adjournment period?” said Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster who conducted the study in collaboration with Democrat Jeff Horwitt . Based on this limited sample of voters, “we say’no’.”

These voters have little to do with the political life of the country, and their interest in elections is low compared to most other voter groups. Many people are young people, politically independent people or people who are not close to the party.

Voters who support Trump’s research claim that the economy is the reason for their decision, as well as the desire for taxes and reduced government management. People who support Mr. Biden often cite the coronavirus pandemic, are dissatisfied with the events of the past four years, and need to unite the entire country.

Democratic pollster Peter Hart said that anger is felt by most people in the interview. He said: “There is no sense of hope, optimism, vision, direction.”

He added: “If you are an incumbent, anger is not good news, because you are the key person to anger.”

Republican pollster Micah Roberts (Micah Roberts) said that what shocked him was that among the Republican voters interviewed, “the Supreme Court is actually not mentioned here, nor is there a decisive factor… nor is it mentioned. The Middle East Peace Agreement”-two recent achievements of the Trump administration. “The reason this matter is so important economically is why these Republicans support Trump.”


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