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|Kentucky Odds||+4 [BET NOW]|
|Louisville odds||-4 [BET NOW]|
|Under||132 [BET NOW]|
|time||1 p.m. EST|
When Kentucky fought Louisville, the bluegrass state’s battle for supremacy began on Saturday.
For John Calipari, this was one of the worst starts since he was head coach. The Wildcats sat down with a 1-5 position and looked lost offensively.
Kentucky became the pre-season favorite to win the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) this season, but after the start, it looked more like a pipe dream. Can you end another difficult procedure on Saturday?
Chris Mack’s second season at the helm is fighting for a potential ACC title and ranking first in the championship. Prior to this, the Cardinals had lost four of the last seven games in the ACC game. Mike has lost all of the top five since last year, so this season he will have to rely on many freshmen and transfers.
In addition to being bombed in Madison, Wisconsin, Louisville is also responsible for business. Can the Cardinals play against their opponents in the state again?
This is not surprising considering the long history of Kentucky, but Calipari has another impressive freshman class. However, starting from the 2019-20 season, the Wildcats scored no more than 90%, so they need to stand out from the new members as much as possible.
It all started with an excellent backcourt, including freshmen Brandon Boston and Terrence Clark. To go one step further, Kentucky also obtained a key transfer from Olivier Sarr of Wake Forest.
Boston and Clark led the team with 14.5 points and 12.5 points per game respectively. Thrall ranked third with 10.5 points.
Although they saw a positive side from the newcomers, the Wildcats only scored 1-5 points in Saturday’s game.
Kentucky has recently struggled on the offensive end, ranking 251st in effective field goal percentage and 318th in three-point field goal percentage. In fact, none of the Wildcats’ top four scorers can improve from a 30% long-range shooting percentage.
As in previous seasons, even if the Wildcats have no experience, they can win most games this season with their talent. However, if they continue to take bad photos, they will work hard to reverse the season.
In order for Kentucky to win on Saturday, it must be on the defensive end, because its offense cannot be trusted now.
It is always difficult to replace the entire top five of a team, which is an example for Chris Mack, which shows the blowout loss of Louisville in Wisconsin.
What Mack hasn’t made things easier is that Malik Williams, his top earner last year, will be on the sidelines for 12 weeks. In order to avoid losing his top five, Mack brought in a large amount of income, namely Radford’s Great Southern Player of the Year and San Francisco’s Charles Minlend. However, Minlend has not yet played a role in the cardinal, and will have to wait until the new year.
So far, according to KenPom’s data, Louisville ranks in the top 40 in offensive and defensive efficiency, slightly above average on both sides of the ball. One big change on the offensive end is that Louisville is no longer an excellent three-pointer. Last season, it ranked 15th in the country in three-point percentage, and 33.3% of the points came from outside the three-point line.
This season, the three-point shooting percentage is only 32.7%, and only 22% of the points come from high positions.
Defensive ability is expected to be as good as last year, ranking in the top 30 in terms of defensive efficiency. It struggled in the game against Wisconsin, scoring only 1.30 points per round, but in other cases, it was stable for smaller opponents.
Betting analysis and selection
I think this route has overreacted to Kentucky’s poor start, especially when Louisville is underpowered in the absence of Millend and Williams.
Kentucky has amazing talent, so if Calipari can keep everyone on the same page, then the Wildcats should be able to win at the KFC Yum!
I predict Louisville as a favorite at only -2.44, so I think some values in Kentucky are at +4.5 or higher.
pick: Kentucky +4.5 or higher.