Brussels-For European populists, President Trump’s defeat in the election is already a symbol of great success. It is a symbol of success and a firm supporter. But his refusal to accept the failure and subsequent violence seems to have destroyed the prospects of like-minded leaders on the African continent.
Dominique Moïsi, a senior analyst at the Paris-based Montaigne Institute, said: “After Donald Trump was defeated, what happened in the Capitol was a big deal for populists. Bad omen.” “It says two things: if you choose them, they will not lose power easily; if you choose them, please see what they can do to appeal to the people̵
On the long day of riots, violence, and death when Mr. Trump’s supporters stormed the Capitol, clear warnings were issued to countries such as France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Poland, warning them to underestimate the power of populist anger And the universality of the collusion theory is in democratic government.
Heather Grabbe, director of the Open Society European Policy Institute in Brussels, said the unrest shows how populist scripts are based on “we confront them and cause violence.”
She added: “But it’s important to show the roots of populism and how it works.” “When you stir up supporters against the political dispute between us and them, they are not opponents, but must do everything possible. Confronting enemies, which will lead to violence and cannot give in.”
From their reactions, we can see how European populists threatened events in the United States: step by step they stay away from the riots or remain silent.
In France, Marine Le Pen, chairman of the rally of far-right countries, is expected to pose another major challenge to President Emmanuel Macron in the 2022 election. She is supporting Mr. Trump’s company, praising his campaign and Brexit’s success as a precursor to populism in France and echoing his insistence that there is fraud and fraud in the US election. But after the violent incident, Ms. Le Pen backed down and condemned “any violent act aimed at undermining the democratic process”, which made her “very shocked.”
Just like Ms. Le Pen, Matteo Salvini, the populist leader of the Italian Anti-Immigration Alliance Party, said: “Violence is never the solution.” In the Netherlands, the leader of the famous right-wing party, Gelt Wyl Geert Wilders criticized the attack on the US legislature. Wilder wrote on Twitter during the election in March: “No matter whether the election succeeds or fails, the results of democratic elections should always be respected.”
Another high-profile Dutch populist, Thierry Baudet, is aligned with Trump and the anti-vaccination campaign, and has questioned the independence of the judiciary and the “fake parliament” in the past.
But so far, Bowdit has been in trouble because of his anti-Semitic remarks and divisions at the Democratic Forum.
Rem Korteweg, an analyst at the Clingendael Institute in the Netherlands, said that, however, the Democracy Forum and Wilders’ “Liberal Party” may win about 20% in the Dutch general election. % Of votes.
Even though populist leaders seem to be shocked by the events in Washington and worried about the inauguration on January 20, mainstream politicians are still full of anxiety about the anti-elite and anti-government political movements in Europe, especially in the chaos and anxiety Produced by the coronavirus pandemic.
Consequences of Congressional Riots
Janis A. Emmanouilidis, research director of the Brussels Center for European Policy, said there is no unified populism in Europe. He pointed out that different sports have different characteristics in different countries, and external events are only a factor in their different popularity.
He said: “The most pressing issue right now is Covid-19, but it is not clear how politics will work after the pandemic.” “But,” he added, “the fear of the worst can help avoid the worst. Happening.”
Mr. Emmanuelidis said that “social polarization” and violence in Washington “have created many deterrent effects in other societies”. “We saw the way it was headed, and we wanted to avoid it, but we realized that we could also do it and things might escalate.”
He said that if economic tanks and populists are in power in France or Italy, then “God is forbidden when Europe faces the next crisis.” Out of concerns about the 2022 election, this seems to be German Chancellor Angela Moore. Part of the reason Angela Merkel was so enthusiastic about France and Mr Macron’s demands.
Former Minister of Foreign Affairs and Defense Radoslaw Sikorski said that in Poland, the government has been very supportive of Trump, and public television did not admit his election defeat until Trump himself campaigned. United States.
Sikorsky said: “After Trump was defeated, the voices of populists in Central Europe were disappointing.” “For them, the world will be a lonely place.”
Polish President Andrzej Duda met with Trump in Washington in June, and he simply referred to the congressional riots as internal affairs. He added: “Poland believes in the power of American democracy.”
Similarly, Hungarian Prime Minister Victor Orban, a staunch supporter of Trump, declined to comment on the riots. He told the national radio station: “We should not interfere with what is happening in the United States, that is, American business. We are cheering for them, and we believe that they will try to solve their problems.”
Mr. Sikorsky, the former Minister of Poland, is a political opponent of the current government of the country. He said that Europe needs to “awaken to the danger of extreme right violence” and conspiracy theories. He said: “Compared with jihad, there is much more violence on the far right.” “We can’t think that this madness will disappear, because they have their own facts. We need to take off our gloves, and freedom and democracy must defend ourselves.”
Former Italian Prime Minister Enrico Letta (Enrico Letta), now dean of the Paris School of International Affairs of the Academy of Sciences, said that Mr. Trump “has credibility for the destructive attitudes and practices of European populist leaders, and therefore Letting him out is a challenge. It’s a big problem for them.” He said, followed by riots, “I think this completely changed the map.”
Letta said that now, like Ms. Le Pen, Italian populist leaders feel “must be cut off from some forms of extremism”. He added: “They have lost the ambiguity in maintaining contact with extremists.”
He said Trump’s failure and violent response to it dealt a heavy blow to European populism. He added that the coronavirus disaster alone represented “revenge for capabilities and scientific methods” to combat populist obscurity and anti-elitism, noting that the trouble surrounding Brexit was also a heavy blow.
Leita said: “We even began to think that Brexit was positive for the rest of Europe, allowing a restart.” “No one is following the UK. Now Trump is down.”
However, Moïsi, an analyst at the Montaigne Institute, has a darker impression. After writing an article on geopolitical sentiment, he saw the dangerous analogy that occurred in the Capitol and pointed out that this might become a heroic event among many Trump supporters.
He said the riots reminded him of Adolf Hitler and Beer Hall Putsch, who had failed the Nazi party founded in Munich in 1923.
Muisi said that the effort to overthrow the Bavarian government was also farce and was ridiculed by people, but it became “the basic myth of the Nazi regime.” Hitler wrote “Mein Kampf” after the violence and was sentenced to prison.
Mr. Moisi cited the death of Ashli Babbitt, a veteran who was shot by Congress police. He said: “If the situation in the United States deteriorates, this woman may be the first martyr.”