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Hawks Fed bets on key parts of interest rate markets



Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Building.

Photographer: Andrew Haller/Bloomberg

In the corner of the US interest rate market most affected by the Fed’s policy, there is a bet that if traders increase the timing of the start of the next tightening cycle, it will bring substantial returns.

Trading is carried out through euro-dollar futures options, and in the past week, the size of the transaction has continued to expand.Speed ​​up and Opinion polls show that Democrats are increasingly likely to sweep the White House And Congress in the elections held on November 3. For many investors, this situation will pave the way for large fiscal expenditures, may accelerate the economic rebound from the pandemic, and cause the inflation rate to accelerate toward the Fed’s goal.


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