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Fox News poll: Biden’s lead over Trump slightly narrowed to 8 points



According to Fox News’ national voter survey, the Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden’s lead over President Trump has shrunk from a 10-point advantage in early October to 8 points.

Biden leads with a 52-44% advantage. It was 53-43% three weeks ago. His lead is beyond the sampling error of the polls. 2% support third-party candidates, 2% are not sure.

Click here to read the poll results

Since the beginning of September, among potential voters, the approval rate for the former vice president has been between 51-53%. It is worth noting that this is clearly different from the 2016 election. In 2016, neither candidate exceeded 48% of the support of the pre-election survey or the final election results.

The number of registered voters who supported Biden was almost the same as the number of people who supported his supposed showdown in 2015. At the time, he led Trump by 50% to 37%.

Democratic polling expert Chris Anderson conducted a survey with Republican Daron Shaw. He said: “Biden has an important leading position nationwide and has already taken a lot of votes. And there are not a few decisions yet.” “It’s hard to see major changes in the national game on the closing day, but that doesn’t mean that Trump will not be able to thread the electoral college victory again.”

The survey shows that Trump is the first choice for white people (+17 points), rural voters (+18) and white evangelical Christians (+50). These profit margins are lower than the profits he made in 2016. According to voter data verified by the Pew Research Center, he won elections with 30 points for white men, 25 points for rural voters and 61 points for white evangelicals.

Biden is the favorite of women (+17 points), suburban women (+29), Hispanics (+18), blacks (+66) and voters under 30 (+32). Compared with Hillary Clinton’s support in 2016, the situation is mixed. She won women by 15 points, women in the suburbs by 11 points, and voters under the age of 30 by 30 points-but won blacks by 38 points and Hispanics by 38 points.

The elderly supported Trump with a 9% advantage in 2016, but supported Biden with 10 points in the new survey.

The independent group is a small group with a support rate of 54% to 32% for Biden-Trump won with a single point advantage last time.

Xiao said: “Biden has an advantage in key groups, especially the elderly, suburban residents and independents.” “Trump needs to get more points from these groups to win re-election. But the main obstacle is the tenacity of race. Stability. Despite the pandemic, economic collapse and large-scale social unrest, there hasn’t been much change throughout the year.”

Another big difference in this election is that voters found that one of the candidates was desirable. This is in sharp contrast to 2016, when voters held negative views of both Clinton and Trump.

Biden’s net personal score is +11: 55% of people have a favorable opinion of him, while 44% are not satisfied.

For Trump, 44% of people have a positive attitude towards him, while 55% have a negative attitude, which makes him fall into 11 points underwater. In addition, 48% of people have “strong” objections to him, compared with 34% of Biden.

Biden has a four-point support advantage because his supporters (86%) say they have more “extreme” commitments to the candidate than Trump’s supporters (82%).

Compared with those who support Trump (74%), more people who support Biden (78%) feel “extreme” to vote. In November 2016, more Trump voters (64%) had a “very” interest in the campaign than Clinton voters (54%).

In other words, among those who support Biden, only six out of ten said that their vote was mainly to “support” him (57%), and eight out of ten people who support Trump also Agree (80%).

Ace and BIDEN BLITZ fighting state in the final campaign

Biden’s supporters (41%) are more than twice as likely to describe their vote as “against” another candidate than Trump’s supporters (18%).

The majority of people who voted in person supported Trump (53%), while the majority of people who voted by mail chose Biden (65%).

More than a third of voters reported that they had voted, and in this group, the former vice president led by 29 points. Trump plans to lead by 16 points in voting on election day.

Overall, 46% of possible voters approve of Trump’s job as president, while most 54% disagree (46% “strongly” disagree). His best results came in April of this year, when he had 49% to 49% (registered voters) views on his performance.

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This “Fox News Poll” was conducted under the joint guidance of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company (R) from October 27 to 29, 2020, and included interviews with 1,318 randomly selected registered voters across the country. The interviewer on the landline and mobile phone had a conversation. The survey included voting results of 1,246 possible voters. For registered and potential voters, the margin of sampling error in opinion polls is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.

Victoria Ballara of Fox News contributed to this report.


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