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COVID-19 surge may push SoCal home orders into 2021



As intensive care beds are still in a dangerous shortage, the continued growth of coronavirus cases may lead to longer standby hours at home in Southern California and other areas.

The earliest possible date for Southern California to be eligible to withdraw from existing orders is Monday, but state officials said on Sunday that due to recent restrictions, the region and several other areas may have to continue to implement restrictions for several weeks following recent restrictions. . Breaking point.

According to Governor Gavin Newsom (Gavin Newsom), the official decision will be announced on Tuesday, although he admitted that “it is clear and understandable that orders to stay at home are likely to be extended.”

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These restrictions include reducing the capacity of retail stores; closing some businesses, including hair salons, nail salons, business card rooms, museums, zoos, and aquariums; and prohibiting most hotel accommodations for parties, tours, and outdoor restaurant dining.

According to the guidance of the state government, “home order” orders will remain valid until the estimated ICU capacity in the area is equal to or greater than 15%. In Southern California and the San Joaquin Valley (which together cover 23 of California’s 58 counties), the current ICU available capacity is 0%.

This does not mean that there are no free ICU beds, as the state ensures that it remains open for those patients who do not have COVID-19. But officials and experts warn that overcrowding in the intensive care unit may burden doctors and nurses, thereby compromising the quality of care for everyone, including COVID-19 patients, heart attack victims and those seriously injured in car accidents.

The California Department of Public Health said in a statement on Sunday: “The regional residency order may extend to many areas in California.” Once a county reaches the ICU bed availability threshold of 15% or higher, it must maintain that status. Weeks.

The California Department of Public Health reported that the state has so far confirmed 2,122,806 cases and more than 24,000 deaths. There were more than 50,000 newly recorded confirmed cases on Saturday.

On Sunday, Los Angeles County health officials reported more than 42,000 new coronavirus cases on Christmas Day and Saturday. Due to the disruption of spectrum internet services in the Los Angeles area, last Friday’s number (15,538 cases) was postponed. In the past week, the county had an average of about 13,800 new coronavirus cases every day and 88 COVID-19 deaths every day.

Orange County officials reported 3,200 cases on Sunday, including one death.

Hospitals throughout the region are overwhelmed. Some people’s oxygen supply is severely inadequate, which is essential for the treatment of severe COVID-19 patients who start to suffocate due to the virus infecting their lungs. The emergency room is overcrowded, and ambulances have to wait as long as eight hours to deliver patients, or are sometimes sent to hospitals further away.

County Public Health Director Barbara Ferrer said at a meeting: “Our hospital has been overloaded, and the high-quality medical services we are used to in Los Angeles County are beginning to suffer because our frontline medical staff have exceeded their limits.” Briefing.

In one case, experts predict that by mid-January, there may be a surge in new coronavirus cases, by late January and early February, the number of hospitalizations will surge, and by mid-February to the second year, the death toll will increase further. Increased situation.

In autumn and winter, the rapid succession of holidays usually allows people to party with their loved ones.But the short time between celebrations

This means that there is little time for coronavirus cases to start to decline before peaking again.

Dr. Robert King Farley, a medical epidemiologist and infectious disease expert at the UCLA School of Public Health, said that people exposed to COVID-19 at Christmas parties may be infected on New Year’s Eve.

He said, however, this person may have no symptoms, attended the New Year’s Eve party and spread the disease unknowingly. He said that given the high rate of infection (in Los Angeles County estimates, about 1 in 95 people in Los Angeles County were infected with the virus), the holiday caused “viral wildfires.”

Time magazine writer Joe Mozingo (Joe Mozingo) contributed to this report.

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