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Home / Health / Can SF survive the fall of COVID-19? UCSF doctor responds

Can SF survive the fall of COVID-19? UCSF doctor responds



Health officials warned that the deadly fall COVID-19 surge has been sweeping the United States for months, and partly blamed Americans not wearing masks and the cold weather forcing people indoors to contract the virus. Spread easier.

In the past two weeks, the average number of new cases per day in the United States has increased from about 49,000 to 70,000, a surge of more than 40%. The number of deaths per day has risen from about 700 to nearly 800.

So far, San Francisco has avoided this surge because the city’s residents continue to control the virus wearing masks, businesses and schools have been slow to reopen, and scientists and politicians have cooperated in accordance with public health orders.


Can the city withstand what some people call the third wave?

Dr. Bob Walker, head of the Department of Medicine at the University of California, San Francisco, wrote in his weekly Twitter post: “I̵

7;ll bend over and say,…hope I have not been proven wrong.” The 19 pandemic.

Watchert said that he hoped the Self-Defense Forces, since the Mayor of London declared a state of emergency after the pandemic began, how the city will remain vigilant so that Côte d’Ivoire will not be attacked by the fall explosion.

“When I walked or drove on SF, I saw evidence that why Covid cases and deaths are the lowest among all major cities in the United States. Masking is nearly universal, Ubers & Lyfts windows are open, and outdoor pop-up meals are everywhere. Space.” he wrote.

He added: “History is with us: When the entire state of California began to surge in June, SF was able to reverse the situation, but most of the other areas of CA did not, and were hit harder. The same goes for the southern states. .”

According to covidexitstrategy.org, coronavirus cases are spreading like wildfires in the United States, and infection rates are rising in every state except Virginia. In 34 states, the death toll has risen.

The states with the highest newly confirmed infection rates are mostly in the Midwest and the Plains.

In the past two weeks, the state of California has seen coronavirus-related hospitalizations and intensive care units, prompting Governor Gavin Newsom and the state’s top health officials to issue new warnings on Tuesday , Although the newly confirmed cases are still far below the recent increase in most areas. country.

Statewide, the number of hospitalizations in the past 14 days has increased by 4.7%, while intensive care cases have increased by 5.9% over the same period. In stark contrast, after the state laid off employees this summer and began adopting what officials call a “slow and strict” approach to reopening business, both categories have fallen by more than a month.

He said that this number is still far below the state when the number of cases surged this summer, and there is sufficient treatment capacity.

Vocht wrote on Twitter that after zooming in on the Bay Area, these nine counties “saw a small but potentially meaningful collision in the case. The death curve is somewhat flexible, but the residents here have also risen slightly. “

Finally, a closer look at San Francisco reveals that the city “is still a bright spot among the largest cities in the United States,” Voch wrote.

San Francisco has an average of 32 new infections every day. This number has remained stable in the past week, well below the peak of 130 new infections per day from July to August.

Walker wrote: “So far, in the entire science fiction, we have 140 Covid deaths.” “As I said, this is simply shocking, representing 16 deaths per 100,000 people. If the entire United States died per capita With this rate, we will have 52,000 deaths instead of 226,000. In other words, 174,000 will die. They are still alive today.”

Due to its low morbidity and low mortality rate, San Francisco was the first urban center in California to see the virus spread to the “minimal” or yellow rating in the state’s reopening plan. Several rural counties with a small population, such as Sonoma County and Monterey County, are in areas with the most stringent purple restrictions due to widespread infections, and many businesses and activities need to be closed.

Although many other major cities in the United States (such as New York) have experienced a terrible period with a surge in cases and hospital beds beyond capacity, the number of cases in San Francisco is relatively low, with ups and downs, but there is no emergence that makes the city’s medical care unbearable The heavy burden of the major case system and affect its ability to provide the best care.

Wackert concluded that the key to avoiding peak falls and overwhelmed health systems is to be vigilant when wearing masks, especially when traveling within the state and nationwide.

He wrote: “It’s not that complicated: masks work.”

Read Wachter’s full topic here.

The Associated Press contributed to this matter.


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