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Home / US / Biden maintains lead in Trump polls for five days before election day

Biden maintains lead in Trump polls for five days before election day



Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden (L) and President Donald Trump

Reuters

President Donald Trump is at a disadvantage in the polls against former Vice President Joe Biden. Unlike Trump’s 2016 campaign with Hillary Clinton, this gap seems to have not been in the last five days of the 2020 campaign. Not bridged.

At this point in the last election, after new news about her email server came to light, Clinton̵

7;s leadership suddenly reduced relations with Trump. But now, because Trump no longer has political novelty, and in the absence of the latest blockbuster, Biden’s opinion poll advantage seems more durable.

Here is what the national poll tracker said Thursday morning:

Although national opinion polls have narrowed in recent weeks, Biden appears to be prepared to maintain the lead until next Tuesday’s election day. At the same time, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight pointed out that most state polls show that Biden’s position has improved.

Some states were previously considered the strongholds of the Republican Party, but they have become fierce competition in the later stages of the game. For example, the “Cook Political Report” and “NBC News” both moved Texas from the “Lean Republican” to the “Departure” column this week. FiveThirtyEight 8 also predicted that Biden will be slightly favored in winning Georgia, which has not voted for the Democratic presidential candidate since 1992.

All this is not to say that Biden’s victory is a foregone conclusion. Despite a series of accidents in October 2016 that ultimately benefited Trump, Clinton still won the popular vote by more than 2 million votes-but after a series of disastrous defeats in key swing states, she lost at Electoral College.

Trump is still likely to get out of the same predicament in 2020. Biden has an average advantage in key battlefield countries, which put Trump in the first place in the last cycle, but the magnitude is smaller than that of his country. Opinion polls show that candidates are on par in the few most critical battlefield countries.

The Republican has spent the final weeks of the game in a national frenzy, holding at least one autographed campaign rally every day and attracting large numbers of supporters. Trump is scheduled to deliver speeches in Florida and North Carolina on Thursday, the two most competitive games in the United States.

At these rallies, the president can focus on the economy, and for a long time, he has been the area where he gets the highest evaluation among voters. The US Department of Commerce reported on Thursday morning that the economy will grow at the fastest rate in history in the third quarter of 2020, and the Trump campaign must be eager to publicize this figure.

However, after the worst plunge in history in the last quarter, the economic boom, GDP fell by 32.9%. The historical decline is mainly due to the coronavirus pandemic, and voters have always stated that they think Biden will handle it better than Trump.

The Covid-19 crisis swept across the United States at the beginning of this year, but it has not yet relaxed and remains the core issue in the election. According to data from Johns Hopkins University, the United States has reported more than 8.85 million cases and at least 227,703 deaths.

Trump downplayed the threat of the virus, clashed with public health experts in the current administration, and refused to personally intervene in ongoing negotiations to seek more government relief. He organized events at the White House and campaign events that ignored guidelines on social distancing and other preventive measures, and he himself contracted the virus earlier this month.

His most recent rally was marked by the close unity of a large number of supporters, many of whom refused to wear masks. Even though the United States seems to be entering the third wave of rising Covid-19 cases and hospitalizations, these events are still taking place. This situation has been warned by his own experts (such as Dr. Robert Redfield, Director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) for about several months. Earlier. But when Trump ended his re-election campaign, he complained that the media paid too much attention to the epidemic, accusing them of promoting the issue for political purposes.

Early voting reached a record level, and the number of undecided voters going to court was less than in 2016. Since the last election, a large number of people have registered to vote, and the Democrats believe this will help their efforts.

But Trump’s unsubstantiated allegations of Biden’s misconduct in connection with his son Hunter Biden have doubled. Trump filed charges against Biden and his son in both debates, but did not increase the polls of the president.

This issue may enliven some Trump supporters, but even some congressional allies in the president doubt whether it will change race.

R-Texas Senator Ted Cruz told Axios: “I don’t think this will move a single voter.”


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