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Biden leads Trump by 6 in North Carolina



A new NBC/Marist poll shows that Joe Biden maintains a modest six-point lead, with possible voters surpassing Donald Tron in the difficult swing state of North Carolina.​​​​ President P.

Among possible voters, Biden’s approval rate is 52%, while the current president’s approval rate is 46%. (Among all registered voters in the state, the former vice president has a similar leadership rate at 51%, compared with 46% for Trump.)

Biden’s advantage is within the polling margin of error of +/- 4.7 percentage points for possible voters and +/- 4.1 percentage points for registered voters. (A margin of error of +/- 4.7 means that pollsters believe that the actual voting percentage of each candidate may be higher or lower by 4.7 percentage points).

The poll also showed that Democratic Senate candidate Cal Cunningham enjoys a 1

0-point advantage. He hopes to remove the first current Republican Congressman Thom Tillis (Thom Tillis).

Cunningham got the support of 53% of possible voters, while Tillis got the support of 43% of voters-which is an advantage outside the margin of error-although Cunningham faces an infidelity scandal threatening to subvert race. Cunningham’s leadership is the same among registered voters.

The current Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper (Roy Cooper) also enjoys a 60% job approval rating, easily leading Republican challenger Dan Forest (Dan Forest), accounting for 59% to 40% of possible voters.

For Democrats, the good news is that voters in the state may have low support for the president’s job. 44% approve of his job as president, while 52% oppose it.

Biden is also considered more advantageous than Trump in the state. Half of the likely voters (50%) have a favorable opinion of him, while 46% of voters disagree, with a net score of +4. For Trump, 43% of people have a good opinion of him, while 54% of people have no good opinion of him, with a net score of -11.

Biden and college-educated white voters flipped the 2016 script

Driven by the advantages of college-educated voters and suburban residents, women, and independents, Biden won the advantage in about 4 states in 2016.

Among all possible college-educated voters in North Carolina, he leads 61% to 37%. In the Trump Organization, which won a win-win situation for whites in North Carolina four years ago, among only white college-educated voters, Biden led 61% to 38%.

Biden is among independents (52% to 43%), suburban voters (60% to 38%), women (60% to 38%), black voters (89% to 9%) and voters under 45 (59) In terms of leading position% to 36%).

Trump accounts for 56% to 42% of white voters, 70% to 28% of whites without a college degree, and 55% to 42% of men.

Among the elderly who are subject to fierce competition, the two are basically tied, with Trump accounting for 50% and Biden 49%.

The president also maintained the enthusiasm advantage demonstrated in national opinion polls. Among his supporters, more than ten-eighths support them, while only 72% of Biden’s voters support them.

As the national opinion polls show, Biden’s supporters are more likely to vote before election day.

Among those who have indicated that they have voted by mail or plan, Biden leads with a turnout rate of 76% to 19%. Among those who voted in person at the early voting location, 52% supported Biden and 46% supported Trump. However, among those who plan to vote in person on election day, the president leads 2-1 to 1, more than 67% to 30%.

Cunningham leads among those who have voted with 21 points

In the state’s much-watched Senate campaign, Cunningham’s advantage largely reflects Biden’s advantage. He is leading among women (62% to 34%), white college graduates (61% to 37%), suburban voters (63% to 34%), and independents (56% to 38%).

Although it was revealed in early October that Cunningham had exchanged sexual texts with a woman who was not his wife, these clues still appeared.

E-mail voting began in North Carolina on September 4, less than a month after the Cunningham scandal broke out.

Among those who have voted, Cunningham is 60% to 39% ahead of the current leader of the Republican Party.

But among those who have not yet voted, 41% support Cunningham and 52% support Tillis.

What does the poll sample look like

As Marist strives to ensure that hard-to-reach voters are included in the sample, 21% of the likely voters are from the Raleigh-Durham region, 17% are from the Charlotte region, and 21% are from Piedmont/Central Region states 18% From the western part of the state.

33% of the likely voters are Democrats, 30% are Republicans, and 34% are independents.

The sample is composed of 40% of college graduates and 60% of people without a college degree.

The live NBC/Marist poll surveyed 1,135 adults in North Carolina from October 25-28, 2020. Including 1,049 registered voters, the margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. The sample of possible voters consists of 800 respondents, with a margin of error of +4.7 percentage points.


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