As the situation worsens and Thanksgiving Day approaches, Arizona’s health system is preparing for the pressure of a new wave of COVID-19, and the number of cases and hospitalizations continues to increase.
According to the daily report of the Arizona Department of Health Services, the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Arizona increased by 3,015 last Friday to 269,577, and the known death toll was 6,257.
In the past 20 days, 16 new cases have exceeded 1,000, and 5 of them are the first time more than 2,000 new cases have appeared since the state’s summer surge. Since late July, Friday is the second time the state has reported more than 3,000 new cases per day. The United States has been reporting record daily new cases.
Over the past few weeks, there has been a relative increase in daily case reports, as the virus is spreading at the fastest rate in Arizona since June, although the number of cases is still below the summer peak.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s COVID data tracker says the rate of new cases in Arizona is lower than the reporting rate in 31 other states and Guam. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that North Dakota has seen a surge in cases. As of Thursday, the new incidence rate per 100,000 people in the past seven days was 175.5. In comparison, Arizona’s ratio is 28.9.
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The increase in new COVID-19 cases in the summer is an early sign that there will be more hospitalizations and deaths in the coming weeks.
Governor Doug Ducey said in a COVID-19 briefing published on October 29 that Arizonans “need to be vigilant” but announced that there were no new preventive measures and instead pointed to existing strategies, such as Restaurant capacity limit.
On Thursday, the number of patients hospitalized with known or suspected COVID-19 cases across the state was 1,381, the highest since August 12. At its peak in Arizona in July, the number of hospitalized patients suspected or confirmed with the virus exceeded 3,000.
On Thursday, the number of suspected or known COVID-19 patients in the Arizona intensive care unit was 335, which is the highest level of ICU bed use in a day since August 23. This level is much lower than the level in July. The number of ICU beds for COVID-19 reached 970.
On Thursday, the number of Arizonans who were confirmed and suspected of having COVID-19 on a ventilator was 176, down from 180 on Wednesday. This is the most ventilator used in a single day since August 25. In mid-July, as many as 687 people used ventilators. Patients diagnosed or suspected of COVID-19 throughout the state use ventilators.
Friday’s dashboard showed that 88% of inpatient beds and 86% of ICU beds are in use, including those receiving COVID-19 treatment and other patients. COVID-19 patients used 16% of all hospital beds and 20% of ICU beds. Overall, 33% of ventilators are used.
The positive rate refers to the percentage of positive COVID-19 diagnostic tests, which has increased slightly. Many health experts believe this is an early indicator of the peak of the disease.
According to the state, of the known test results last week, the positive rate was 9%, higher than the 7% in the previous week. The state uses a unique method to calculate the positive rate. According to the state’s data, the positive rate was 4% in the weeks of August, September and October.
Johns Hopkins University calculated that as of Friday, Arizona’s seven-day positive movement percentage was 14.2%. It shows that the state’s positive rate has reached a relatively stable level and is now on the rise.
The positive rate of 5% is considered a good benchmark for controlling the spread of the disease.
What to know about Friday’s numbers
Cases reported in Arizona: 269,577.
Since the outbreak, the number of cases has increased by 3,015, or 1.13%, from 266,562 confirmed cases on Thursday.
County cases: Maricopa 172864, Pima 31874, Pima 13,220, Navajo 7,220, Mohave 4,973, Apache (4,293), Yava Pie (Avapai) 4,973, Mojave (4,973), Santa Cruz (Santa Cruz) 3,235, Santa Cruz (2,622), 2,302 (2,302) According to state numbers, Gila (Gila), Graham (Graham) ) Is 1,620, La Paz is 670, and Greenlee is 127.
The case rate per 100,000 people is highest in Yuma County, followed by Navajo, Santa Cruz and Apache counties. The incidence rate in Yuma County is 6,525 cases per 100,000 people. In contrast, data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) show that the average incidence rate in the United States is 3,117 cases per 100,000 people.
As of Thursday, the Navajo Nation has reported 12,971 cases and another 596 confirmed deaths. The Navajo people include parts of Arizona, New Mexico, and Utah. Navajo national leaders have restored a 56-hour weekend curfew from Friday night to Monday morning because they said COVID-19 was spreading uncontrollably in more than 20 tribal communities.
The Arizona Department of Corrections said that as of Thursday, 2,667 prisoners had tested positive for COVID-19, including 1,002 in Tucson; 41,380 prisoners across the state had been tested. The state department of corrections said a total of 867 prison staff had self-reported positive. It has been confirmed that 19 people in prison in Arizona have died of COVID-19, and another 9 people are under investigation.
Although 30% of all COVID-19 cases statewide are unaware of race/ethnicity, 30% are Hispanics or Latinos, 27% are whites, 6% American Indians, 3% blacks, and Asia Pacific Islanders Accounted for 1%.
Since the beginning of the pandemic, 15% of people who have tested positive in Arizona have been under 20, 47% are 20-44, 15% are 45-54, and 11 are 55-64. %, 11% are 65 years of age or older.
The laboratory has completed 1,942,716 diagnostic tests for COVID-19, of which 10.1% have tested positive. Now, the number includes PCR and antigen testing. Since mid-May, the percentage of positive tests has increased, but it has declined since July, and has stabilized at around 4% within a few weeks. It was 9% last week, up from 7% the previous week. The status code misses laboratory data that is not reported electronically.
ADHS has begun to include possible cases, such as anyone with a positive antigen test, which is another test to determine current infection. Antigen test (not related to antibody test) is a newer COVID-19 diagnostic test that uses a nasal swab or other fluid sample to test for current infections. Results are usually produced within 15 minutes.
The Mayo Clinic says that positive antigen test results are considered very accurate, but the chance of false negative results increases. Mayo Clinic officials said that depending on the situation, the doctor may recommend a PCR (polymerase chain reaction) test to confirm whether the antigen test result is negative.
As of Thursday, Arizona’s overall infection rate ranked 21st in the United States. Since the beginning of the pandemic, Arizona has been distributed in North Dakota, South Dakota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Utah, Idaho, Mississippi, and Tennessee for every 100,000 people. , Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana, Illinois, Florida, Montana, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, said the CDC, Kansas, Nevada, and South Carolina .
The CDC says the infection rate in Arizona is 3,697 cases per 100,000 people. The national average is 3,117 cases per 100,000 people, although due to the lack of available tests in March and April, the incidence in states that were hit hard in the early stages of the pandemic may be underestimated.
Death toll: 6,257
The number of deaths in each county: 3774 in Maricopa, 669 in Pima, 365 in Yuma, 259 in Navajo, 242 in Mojave, 236 in Pinar, 187 in Apache, Kokoni No. 153, Yavapai 102, Yavapai 102, Gila 77, Kochiz 76, 66 Santa Cruz, Graham (31), La Paz ( 18) And Green Lane (less than 3).
Among those 65 years of age and older, those over 65 accounted for 4,468, accounting for 71%. After that, 15% of the deaths were in the 55-64 age group, 7% were between 45-54 and 6% were between 20-44.
The state data shows that although race/ethnicity accounts for 11% of deaths, 43% of them are white, 30% are Hispanic or Latino, 11% are American Indian, 3% are black, and 1% are Asian /Pacific Islander, show.
According to data from Johns Hopkins University, as of Friday morning, the global death toll was 1,295,841. The United States is the country with the largest number of deaths in the world, at 242,477. As of last Friday, the total number of deaths in Arizona was 6,257, accounting for 2.6% of the COVID-19 deaths in the United States.
According to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, as of Thursday, Arizona’s COVID-19 death rate was 86 per 100,000 people, ranking 10th in the state’s ranking, which separates New York City from New York State. The CDC says that there are 72 deaths per 100,000 people in the United States.
The CDC is located behind New York City, with 286 deaths per 100,000 people. These are New Jersey, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Louisiana, Mississippi, Rhode Island, District of Columbia and North Dakota. The highest mortality rate.
Republic reporter Stephanie Innes contributed to this article.
Contact the reporter at Alison.Steinbach@arizonarepublic.com or 602-444-4282. Follow her on Twitter @alisteinbach.
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